Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Main Women's Strawweight

Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Cooper

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tatiana Suarez
Amanda Cooper
86% 14%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Suarez: 16 sig / 3 TD · Cooper: 1 sig / 0 TD
Tatiana Suarez
Amanda Cooper
38
Sig strikes landed
29
80
Sig strikes attempted
66
78
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
211s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Tatiana Suarez

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner

Amanda Cooper

"ABC"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Switch
Age
25