Main
Lightweight
Ross Pearson vs Will Brooks
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ross Pearson
Will Brooks
30%
70%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
17
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pearson: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Brooks: 80 sig / 1 TD
Ross Pearson
Will Brooks
49
Sig strikes landed
53
113
Sig strikes attempted
121
57
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
85s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
17 fights · 9-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
Blue corner
Will Brooks
"Ill"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30