Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Cory Hendricks vs Josh Stansbury

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cory Hendricks
Josh Stansbury
73% 27%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Hendricks: 47 sig / 0 TD · Stansbury: 61 sig / 0 TD
Cory Hendricks
Josh Stansbury
29
Sig strikes landed
26
62
Sig strikes attempted
56
41
Total strikes landed
36
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Cory Hendricks

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner

Josh Stansbury

"The Sandman"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32