Main
Featherweight
Dooho Choi vs Thiago Tavares
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dooho Choi
Thiago Tavares
66%
34%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
25
Age
Δ 6y
32
18-4-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-7-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Choi: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Tavares: 2 sig / 2 TD
Dooho Choi
Thiago Tavares
28
Sig strikes landed
13
55
Sig strikes attempted
27
35
Total strikes landed
27
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.70
Knockdowns
0.10
36s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
46%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Dooho Choi
"The Korean Superboy"
18-4-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
Blue corner
W1
Thiago Tavares
22-7-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—