Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Prelims1 Featherweight

Gray Maynard vs Fernando Bruno

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Gray Maynard
Fernando Bruno
62% 38%
Why
37
Age
Δ 3y
34
13-8-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
15-5
L4
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maynard: 30 sig / 3 TD · Bruno: 32 sig / 2 TD
Gray Maynard
Fernando Bruno
31
Sig strikes landed
36
52
Sig strikes attempted
95
56
Total strikes landed
76
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.9
4.1
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
292s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L4

Gray Maynard

13-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
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L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
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L UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
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W UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
Blue corner
L1

Fernando Bruno

"Acougueiro"
15-5
Career record
Height
66"
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
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