Main
Women's Flyweight
Valerie Letourneau vs Joanne Wood
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
·TD Place Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Valerie Letourneau
Joanne Wood
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
8-7
Career record
Δ 16 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Letourneau: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Wood: 115 sig / 3 TD
Valerie Letourneau
Joanne Wood
51
Sig strikes landed
68
144
Sig strikes attempted
146
69
Total strikes landed
97
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
70s
Control time
195s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Valerie Letourneau
"Trouble"
8-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
Blue corner
W1
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
18-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—