Prelims1
Middleweight
Tamdan McCrory vs Krzysztof Jotko
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
·TD Place Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tamdan McCrory
Krzysztof Jotko
44%
56%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
15-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
25-6
W1
Current streak
W3
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McCrory: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Jotko: 4 sig / 0 TD
Tamdan McCrory
Krzysztof Jotko
34
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
65
51
Total strikes landed
54
2.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
6.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
300s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tamdan McCrory
"The Barncat"
15-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
W3
Krzysztof Jotko
25-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—