Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Penne vs Jessica Andrade
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
·The Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jessica Penne
Jessica Andrade
28%
72%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 5"
62"
33
Age
Δ 9y
25
14-10
Career record
Δ 4 pp
26-16
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Penne: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Andrade: 117 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Penne
Jessica Andrade
27
Sig strikes landed
60
87
Sig strikes attempted
99
59
Total strikes landed
86
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
-0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
174s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Penne
14-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—