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Jonathan Wilson vs Henrique da Silva

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 ·The Forum
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jonathan Wilson
Henrique da Silva
39% 61%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Wilson: 66 sig / 1 TD · da Silva: 81 sig / 0 TD
Jonathan Wilson
Henrique da Silva
23
Sig strikes landed
23
57
Sig strikes attempted
52
30
Total strikes landed
36
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
49s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jonathan Wilson

"Johnny Bravo"
8-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
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Blue corner

Henrique da Silva

"Frankenstein"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27