🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
Dominick Cruz vs Urijah Faber
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
·The Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dominick Cruz
Urijah Faber
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
31
Age
Δ 6y
37
25-4
Career record
Δ 10 pp
36-11
W4
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Cruz: 87 sig / 3 TD ·
Faber: 34 sig / 1 TD
Dominick Cruz
Urijah Faber
66
Sig strikes landed
54
155
Sig strikes attempted
151
98
Total strikes landed
71
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.0
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
210s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Dominick Cruz
"The Dominator"
25-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
Blue corner
W1
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—