🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Luke Rockhold vs Michael Bisping
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
·The Forum
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Luke Rockhold
Michael Bisping
47%
53%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
37
17-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
31-9
W5
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rockhold: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Bisping: 21 sig / 0 TD
Luke Rockhold
Michael Bisping
55
Sig strikes landed
53
126
Sig strikes attempted
134
57
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
93s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Luke Rockhold
17-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
Blue corner
W3
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—