Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Main Women's Bantamweight

Germaine de Randamie vs Anna Elmose

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski ·Ahoy Rotterdam
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Germaine de Randamie
Anna Elmose
65% 35%
Why
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
de Randamie: 18 sig / 0 TD · Elmose: 6 sig / 0 TD
Germaine de Randamie
Anna Elmose
33
Sig strikes landed
26
69
Sig strikes attempted
58
53
Total strikes landed
49
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
L UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
Blue corner

Anna Elmose

"Panda"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32