Prelims2
Flyweight
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Neil Seery
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
·Ahoy Rotterdam
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyoji Horiguchi
Neil Seery
97%
3%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
26
Age
Δ 11y
37
37-5
Career record
Δ 31 pp
17-13
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Horiguchi: 72 sig / 6 TD ·
Seery: 40 sig / 0 TD
Kyoji Horiguchi
Neil Seery
59
Sig strikes landed
36
135
Sig strikes attempted
107
70
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
159s
Control time
30s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
37-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
17-13
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—