Prelims1
Middleweight
Magnus Cedenblad vs Garreth McLellan
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
·Ahoy Rotterdam
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Magnus Cedenblad
Garreth McLellan
60%
40%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 7"
72"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
15-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-6
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cedenblad: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
McLellan: 12 sig / 0 TD
Magnus Cedenblad
Garreth McLellan
28
Sig strikes landed
22
53
Sig strikes attempted
41
50
Total strikes landed
35
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
211s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
15-5
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
W1
Garreth McLellan
"Soldier Boy"
14-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—