Main
Heavyweight
Antonio Silva vs Stefan Struve
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
·Ahoy Rotterdam
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Antonio Silva
Stefan Struve
18%
82%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 2"
84"
37
Age
Δ 8y
28
19-13-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
33-14
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Struve: 13 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Silva
Stefan Struve
19
Sig strikes landed
34
35
Sig strikes attempted
61
33
Total strikes landed
40
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
-0.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
98s
Control time
28s
Method
Decision
11%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
L1
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33-14
Career record
Height
83"
Reach
85"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—