Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Walt Harris
Cody East
32%
68%
Why
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
L3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Harris: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
East: 26 sig / 0 TD
Walt Harris
Cody East
24
Sig strikes landed
33
56
Sig strikes attempted
64
35
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
56s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
Cody East
"The Freight Train"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28