Prelims1
Lightweight
Glaico Franca Moreira vs James Vick
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glaico Franca Moreira
James Vick
75%
25%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
16-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W4
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Franca Moreira: 39 sig / 4 TD ·
Vick: 94 sig / 0 TD
Glaico Franca Moreira
James Vick
30
Sig strikes landed
22
64
Sig strikes attempted
54
38
Total strikes landed
34
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.1
6.1
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
277s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Glaico Franca Moreira
"Nego"
16-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
Blue corner
W4
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—