Prelims1
Welterweight
Danny Roberts vs Dominique Steele
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Danny Roberts
Dominique Steele
63%
37%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
19-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
15-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Roberts: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Steele: 34 sig / 6 TD
Danny Roberts
Dominique Steele
20
Sig strikes landed
17
53
Sig strikes attempted
56
34
Total strikes landed
24
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
41%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
19-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
15-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—