Main
Featherweight
Yair Rodriguez vs Andre Fili
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yair Rodriguez
Andre Fili
65%
35%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
22-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
26-13
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rodriguez: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Fili: 11 sig / 1 TD
Yair Rodriguez
Andre Fili
43
Sig strikes landed
31
85
Sig strikes attempted
89
59
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—