Prelims2
Middleweight
Oluwale Bamgbose vs Cezar Ferreira
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Oluwale Bamgbose
Cezar Ferreira
58%
42%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
7-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
13-9
W1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bamgbose: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Ferreira: 26 sig / 3 TD
Oluwale Bamgbose
Cezar Ferreira
22
Sig strikes landed
24
47
Sig strikes attempted
55
30
Total strikes landed
40
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
44s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Oluwale Bamgbose
"Holy War Angel"
7-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
Blue corner
L2
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—