Prelims2
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Omari Akhmedov
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Omari Akhmedov
51%
49%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
25-11-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
21-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Zaleski dos Santos: 72 sig / 0 TD ·
Akhmedov: 36 sig / 3 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Omari Akhmedov
39
Sig strikes landed
43
96
Sig strikes attempted
112
55
Total strikes landed
58
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
59s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25-11-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
Blue corner
L1
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
21-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
W
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—