Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Bethe Correia vs Raquel Pennington
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bethe Correia
Raquel Pennington
44%
56%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
11-7-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Correia: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Pennington: 75 sig / 0 TD
Bethe Correia
Raquel Pennington
57
Sig strikes landed
59
124
Sig strikes attempted
126
76
Total strikes landed
86
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
11-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
W1
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
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