Main
Women's Strawweight
Rose Namajunas vs Tecia Pennington
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rose Namajunas
Tecia Pennington
65%
35%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
60"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
16-8
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-8
W2
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Namajunas: 46 sig / 2 TD ·
Pennington: 61 sig / 0 TD
Rose Namajunas
Tecia Pennington
39
Sig strikes landed
40
112
Sig strikes attempted
85
72
Total strikes landed
73
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
181s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
16-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
W3
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
16-8
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—