Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Lineker
Rob Font
79%
21%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
26
Age
Δ 3y
29
32-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
23-10
W3
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lineker: 80 sig / 1 TD ·
Font: 40 sig / 0 TD
John Lineker
Rob Font
56
Sig strikes landed
42
127
Sig strikes attempted
115
67
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
52s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
32-9
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
W2
Rob Font
23-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—