Back to UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Jared Cannonier vs Cyril Asker

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos ·Zagreb Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Cyril Asker
62% 38%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cannonier: 27 sig / 0 TD · Asker: 13 sig / 0 TD
Jared Cannonier
Cyril Asker
27
Sig strikes landed
31
61
Sig strikes attempted
60
40
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
81s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jared Cannonier

"The Killa Gorilla"
18-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
Blue corner

Cyril Asker

"Silverback"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30