Prelims2
Featherweight
Robert Whiteford vs Lucas Martins
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
·Zagreb Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Robert Whiteford
Lucas Martins
35%
65%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
14-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-4
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Whiteford: 45 sig / 1 TD ·
Martins: 30 sig / 0 TD
Robert Whiteford
Lucas Martins
23
Sig strikes landed
31
43
Sig strikes attempted
69
32
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
129s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Robert Whiteford
"The Hammer"
14-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
L2
Lucas Martins
"Mineiro"
19-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—