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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Filip Pejic vs Damian Stasiak

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos ·Zagreb Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Filip Pejic
Damian Stasiak
73% 27%
Why
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Pejic: 0 sig / 0 TD · Stasiak: 2 sig / 2 TD
Filip Pejic
Damian Stasiak
33
Sig strikes landed
21
55
Sig strikes attempted
40
55
Total strikes landed
37
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
144s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Filip Pejic

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
L1

Damian Stasiak

"Webster"
10-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
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