Main
Light Heavyweight
Gian Villante vs Ilir Latifi
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Ilir Latifi
52%
48%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 3y
34
18-14
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Villante: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Latifi: 30 sig / 3 TD
Gian Villante
Ilir Latifi
33
Sig strikes landed
38
68
Sig strikes attempted
76
45
Total strikes landed
42
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
6s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gian Villante
18-14
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
18-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—