Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Valentina Shevchenko
48%
52%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
24-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-4-1
W2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nunes: 39 sig / 2 TD ·
Shevchenko: 28 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Nunes
Valentina Shevchenko
20
Sig strikes landed
12
42
Sig strikes attempted
27
50
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
179s
Control time
212s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
W1
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—