Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Jim Miller
52%
48%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
31-14
Career record
Δ 3 pp
39-20
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 48 sig / 2 TD ·
Miller: 56 sig / 0 TD
Diego Sanchez
Jim Miller
31
Sig strikes landed
37
90
Sig strikes attempted
98
48
Total strikes landed
45
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
88s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
16 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—