Prelims1
Welterweight
Erick Silva vs Nordine Taleb
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Erick Silva
Nordine Taleb
63%
37%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
19-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
15-8
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Taleb: 26 sig / 1 TD
Erick Silva
Nordine Taleb
23
Sig strikes landed
24
48
Sig strikes attempted
46
39
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
123s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Erick Silva
19-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
L1
Nordine Taleb
15-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—