Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Emanuel Newton
Linton Vassell
80%
20%
Why
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
26-13-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-6
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Emanuel Newton
Linton Vassell
35
Sig strikes landed
52
113
Sig strikes attempted
133
54
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
48s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Emanuel Newton
"The Hardcore Kid"
26-13-1
Career record
Height
73"
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
—
L
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
—
Blue corner
L1
Linton Vassell
"The Swarm"
18-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
—
W
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
—