Prelims1
Featherweight
Dan Hooker vs Mark Eddiva
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
·Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Mark Eddiva
80%
20%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 7"
68"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
24-15
Career record
Δ 2 pp
6-4
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Hooker: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Eddiva: 4 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Mark Eddiva
49
Sig strikes landed
35
112
Sig strikes attempted
78
73
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.40
Knockdowns
-0.10
203s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
Blue corner
L2
Mark Eddiva
6-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—