Prelims1
Welterweight
Brendan O'Reilly vs Alan Jouban
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
·Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brendan O'Reilly
Alan Jouban
46%
54%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
29
Age
Δ 6y
34
7-3
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-8
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
O'Reilly: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Jouban: 32 sig / 0 TD
Brendan O'Reilly
Alan Jouban
24
Sig strikes landed
44
56
Sig strikes attempted
83
38
Total strikes landed
56
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.0
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
158s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brendan O'Reilly
"Badger"
7-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
Blue corner
L1
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
17-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
L
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint…
—