Main
Welterweight
Hector Lombard vs Neil Magny
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
·Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hector Lombard
Neil Magny
60%
40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 9"
80"
38
Age
Δ 10y
29
34-10-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
32-15
W2
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Lombard: 60 sig / 1 TD ·
Magny: 148 sig / 1 TD
Hector Lombard
Neil Magny
30
Sig strikes landed
53
60
Sig strikes attempted
104
41
Total strikes landed
71
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.70
Knockdowns
0.10
161s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Hector Lombard
34-10-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
Blue corner
W2
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—