Prelims1
Flyweight
Ray Borg vs Justin Scoggins
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ray Borg
Justin Scoggins
66%
34%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
22
Age
Δ 1y
24
14-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
12-5
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Borg: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Scoggins: 57 sig / 4 TD
Ray Borg
Justin Scoggins
17
Sig strikes landed
23
35
Sig strikes attempted
38
47
Total strikes landed
47
2.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
258s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
14-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
Blue corner
W1
Justin Scoggins
12-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—