Prelims1
Featherweight
Noad Lahat vs Diego Rivas
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Noad Lahat
Diego Rivas
42%
58%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
12-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-2
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lahat: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Rivas: 5 sig / 1 TD
Noad Lahat
Diego Rivas
24
Sig strikes landed
28
48
Sig strikes attempted
60
45
Total strikes landed
59
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
137s
Control time
303s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Noad Lahat
"Neo"
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
Blue corner
W1
Diego Rivas
"Pitbull"
11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—