Back to UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Prelims2 Welterweight

Mickey Gall vs Mike Jackson

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mickey Gall
Mike Jackson
65% 35%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
24
Age
Δ 7y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gall: 2 sig / 0 TD · Jackson: 3 sig / 0 TD
Mickey Gall
Mike Jackson
33
Sig strikes landed
30
72
Sig strikes attempted
65
45
Total strikes landed
39
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
127s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mickey Gall

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
Blue corner

Mike Jackson

"The Truth"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31