Main
Welterweight
Mike Pyle vs Sean Spencer
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mike Pyle
Sean Spencer
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
40
Age
Δ 12y
29
27-15-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
12-7
L2
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Pyle: 75 sig / 1 TD ·
Spencer: 50 sig / 0 TD
Mike Pyle
Sean Spencer
47
Sig strikes landed
39
108
Sig strikes attempted
123
53
Total strikes landed
60
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
107s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27-15-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Sean Spencer
"Black Magic"
12-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—