Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brad Scott
Krzysztof Jotko
29%
71%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
27
Age
Δ 0y
26
12-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
25-6
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Scott: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Jotko: 59 sig / 2 TD
Brad Scott
Krzysztof Jotko
27
Sig strikes landed
40
67
Sig strikes attempted
82
46
Total strikes landed
64
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
4.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brad Scott
"Bear"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
W2
Krzysztof Jotko
25-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—