Prelims1
Lightweight
Norman Parke vs Rustam Khabilov
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Rustam Khabilov
50%
50%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
24-5
W1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parke: 17 sig / 1 TD ·
Khabilov: 33 sig / 6 TD
Norman Parke
Rustam Khabilov
30
Sig strikes landed
33
88
Sig strikes attempted
77
51
Total strikes landed
47
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.8
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
193s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
Blue corner
L2
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
—