Prelims1
Featherweight
Mike Wilkinson vs Makwan Amirkhani
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mike Wilkinson
Makwan Amirkhani
43%
57%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
10-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wilkinson: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Amirkhani: 32 sig / 4 TD
Mike Wilkinson
Makwan Amirkhani
11
Sig strikes landed
26
25
Sig strikes attempted
48
34
Total strikes landed
35
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
368s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Wilkinson
"The Warrior"
10-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
W2
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—