Women's Flyweight
Ilima Macfarlane vs Amber Tackett
Bellator 148: Daley vs. Uhrich
·Save Mart Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ilima Macfarlane
Amber Tackett
88%
12%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ilima Macfarlane
Amber Tackett
59
Sig strikes landed
53
145
Sig strikes attempted
125
87
Total strikes landed
79
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
144s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ilima Macfarlane
7-0
Career record
Height
64"
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
—
Blue corner
Amber Tackett
0-0
Career record