Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Iuri Alcantara
Jimmie Rivera
60%
40%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
36
Age
Δ 9y
27
36-10
Career record
Δ 4 pp
24-5
W1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Alcantara: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Rivera: 45 sig / 3 TD
Iuri Alcantara
Jimmie Rivera
31
Sig strikes landed
40
98
Sig strikes attempted
105
38
Total strikes landed
58
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
46s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
36-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
24-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—