Prelims2
Featherweight
Damon Jackson vs Levan Makashvili
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Damon Jackson
Levan Makashvili
51%
49%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 0y
27
23-8-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-3-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Jackson: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Makashvili: 65 sig / 2 TD
Damon Jackson
Levan Makashvili
25
Sig strikes landed
31
55
Sig strikes attempted
49
49
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.9
3.0
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
23-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
Blue corner
L1
Levan Makashvili
"The Hornet"
15-3-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—