Light Heavyweight
Virgil Zwicker vs Brian Rogers
Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
·San Jose State University Event Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Virgil Zwicker
Brian Rogers
84%
16%
Why
33
Age
Δ 2y
32
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-10
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Zwicker: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Rogers: 37 sig / 2 TD
Virgil Zwicker
Brian Rogers
59
Sig strikes landed
46
143
Sig strikes attempted
147
67
Total strikes landed
42
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
40s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Virgil Zwicker
"RezDog"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
—
W
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—
Blue corner
L1
Brian Rogers
"The Professional Predator"
14-10
Career record
Height
71"
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—