Flyweight
Anthony Do vs Dustin Moore
Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
·San Jose State University Event Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Do
Dustin Moore
84%
16%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Anthony Do
Dustin Moore
39
Sig strikes landed
39
86
Sig strikes attempted
86
53
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Anthony Do
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Blue corner
Dustin Moore
0-0
Career record
Height
64"