Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Featherweight

Adin Duenas vs Anthony Taylor

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Adin Duenas
Anthony Taylor
88% 12%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Adin Duenas
Anthony Taylor
42
Sig strikes landed
41
90
Sig strikes attempted
89
60
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Adin Duenas

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Age
27
Blue corner

Anthony Taylor

"Pretty Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"