Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Featherweight

Thomas Diagne vs Erick Sanchez

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Thomas Diagne
Erick Sanchez
58% 42%
Why
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
D1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Thomas Diagne
Erick Sanchez
38
Sig strikes landed
45
91
Sig strikes attempted
94
51
Total strikes landed
60
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
154s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
D1

Thomas Diagne

6-6-2
Career record
Height
73"
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
—
Blue corner

Erick Sanchez

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
25