Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Bantamweight

Alvin Cacdac vs Jeremiah Labiano

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alvin Cacdac
Jeremiah Labiano
77% 23%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Alvin Cacdac
Jeremiah Labiano
42
Sig strikes landed
46
94
Sig strikes attempted
103
61
Total strikes landed
62
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Alvin Cacdac

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Blue corner

Jeremiah Labiano

"The Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"